This game has a 2.5% success rate
In 1990, Elizabeth Newton did exactly this, just with tappers and listeners. The tappers predicted that the listeners would guess the songs correctly about half the time.
The result was 2.5%. The listeners could only name three of the 120 songs they heard.
Try it yourself. When you tap out a song on the table, it seems so obvious. You can hear the melody in your head. But the listener is just hearing a few taps, like in the audio above. It could be anything. In fact, if you tapped out Twinkle Twinkle Little Star and The Alphabet Song, you’d hear completely different songs, while the listener would hear the exact same taps.
This is the Curse of Knowledge
The curse of knowledge is a cognitive bias where the more you know about a topic, the more you assume others know. Your bar for ‘what everyone knows’ gets raised.
So if you’re an electrician, you’ll assume the average person knows the colour of the ground cable. But the truth is, most people probably only have a vague sense of what the ground cable even does (let alone its colour). A mortgage advisor expects everyone knows what a compound interest rate means. And a graphic designer will talk about the difference between padding and margin without batting an eye.
Congratulations if you’re sitting there thinking: “I know all of those.” You’ve just proven you’re educated and smart. You’ve also proven you’re exactly the sort of person who’ll succumb to the curse of knowledge.
Good strategy, bad execution
Many businesses have the right approach and are regularly creating insightful content. But unfortunately the meaning is buried, because the reader isn’t ‘hearing the melody’.
A good way to spot this is to look at your analytics. If your pages are getting visits, but people are only spending a few seconds on the page, it’s likely because they’re not understanding it. Likewise, you could be creating a lot of social posts but people aren’t clicking through to the article itself.
In either case, it’s probably because the reader isn’t understanding your point. You’re reaching the right people, but they’re not hearing your message.
This can easily turn into a larger problem, where companies keep changing their positioning or their strategy. They assume they’re not releasing enough, not creating the right kinds of content, or targeting the wrong people. And they end up in a rabbit hole of experimentation.
Now, it’s good to check these assumptions. We generally encourage people to challenge their approach and dig into the real reason.
But sometimes the reason is simple. You’re just confusing your reader.